Fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis is the evaluation of a company’s financial statements, business quality, and competitive position to estimate intrinsic value and decide whether a security is under- or overvalued. It answers what to buy or sell; technical analysis and options help with when and how.


Core Concepts (Quick Reference)

The Three Financial Statements

  • Income Statement (P&L): Revenue βˆ’ Expenses = Net income. Key lines: gross profit, operating income (EBIT), net income, EPS. Use for trends in revenue, margins, and earnings quality.

  • Balance Sheet: Assets = Liabilities + Equity. Use for liquidity (current ratio, quick ratio), leverage (debt/equity), and book value.

  • Cash Flow Statement: Operating (cash from core business), Investing (CapEx, M&A), Financing (debt, dividends, buybacks). Use to check if earnings are backed by cash flowβ€”beware earnings without cash.

Key Ratios

Category
Examples

Profitability

ROE, ROA, gross/operating/net margin

Liquidity

Current ratio, quick ratio

Leverage

Debt/equity, interest coverage

Valuation

P/E, P/B, P/S, EV/EBITDA

Growth

Revenue growth, EPS growth (YoY)

Valuation Approaches

  • DCF (Discounted Cash Flow): Estimate future free cash flows; discount to present value. Sensitive to growth and discount rateβ€”use a range of assumptions.

  • Multiples: Compare P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA to peers and history. Adjust for growth and risk.

  • Margin of safety: Buy when price is meaningfully below estimated value (e.g. 20–30%+). Graham/Buffett principle.

Qualitative Factors

  • Competitive advantage (moat): Brand, scale, network effects, switching costs. Sustained high ROE and margins often reflect a moat.

  • Management: Capital allocation, transparency, alignment (insider ownership).

  • Industry and risks: Growth vs mature; regulatory, technology, concentration risks.


How to Use This Section

  1. Book Notes (below): Detailed notes from classic textsβ€”start with Book Notes README and pick by level (beginner β†’ advanced).

  2. Summary: For a condensed overview of FA and how it fits with TA and Options, see Summary β€” Fundamental Analysis Summary.

  3. Tips and Tricks: Practical guidance on statements, ratios, valuation, red flags, and workflow: Tips_and_Tricks β€” Fundamental Analysis.


Books

  1. The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham

    • Often considered the bible of value investing, this book provides comprehensive insights into the principles of investing and the importance of fundamental analysis.

  2. "Security Analysis" by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd

    • This classic work delves deep into the methods of analyzing securities, with a strong focus on value investing and fundamental analysis.

  3. "Financial Statements: A Step-by-Step Guide to Understanding and Creating Financial Reports" by Thomas Ittelson

    • This book is a great resource for understanding financial statements, which are crucial for fundamental analysis.

  4. "The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit" by Aswath Damodaran

    • Damodaran's book provides practical insights into valuation techniques, an essential aspect of fundamental analysis.

  5. "Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits" by Philip Fisher

    • Fisher's book emphasizes the qualitative aspects of fundamental analysis, such as the importance of management quality and company growth potential.

  6. "One Up On Wall Street" by Peter Lynch

    • Lynch shares his insights on how to identify investment opportunities through fundamental analysis, making complex concepts accessible to individual investors.

  7. "Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements: The Search for the Company with a Durable Competitive Advantage" by Mary Buffett and David Clark

    • This book focuses on how Warren Buffett analyzes financial statements to identify companies with strong competitive advantages.

Other Study Resources

  1. Online Courses and Tutorials

    • Coursera and edX: Offer courses on financial analysis, accounting, and investing.

    • Investopedia Academy: Provides courses specifically tailored to fundamental analysis.

  2. Websites and Blogs

    • Investopedia: Comprehensive articles and tutorials on fundamental analysis.

    • Morningstar: Provides in-depth stock analysis and financial data.

  3. YouTube Channels

    • Aswath Damodaran: Professor Damodaran shares lectures and insights on valuation and fundamental analysis.

    • The Plain Bagel: Simplifies complex financial concepts and offers practical investing advice.

  4. Financial News and Data Platforms

    • Yahoo Finance: Offers financial news, data, and tools for stock analysis.

    • Bloomberg: Provides extensive market data and analysis.

  5. Professional Organizations

    • CFA Institute: The Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) program covers extensive material on financial analysis and valuation.

    • American Association of Individual Investors (AAII): Offers resources and tools for individual investors.


  • Technical Analysis: For when to enter/exit, use the Technical Analysis Handbook. Many traders use FA for selection and TA for timing.

  • Options: For how to structure exposure or hedge, see Options Trading. Use options to express a fundamental view or protect a position.

  • Master Summary: Summary/Master_Summary.md ties FA, TA, and Options together in one place.

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